Al Ahli Jeddah 4-0 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.22
Draw
13%
5.71
Away
10%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.51
6+ Goals
14%
5.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
34%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
77%
+0.2pp
13%
Draw
14%
-1.7pp
10%
Away Win
8%
+1.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 11%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
2.60/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.52
+4% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 76%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
20.3 Crosses 11.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.36 xG 1.22
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 Passes 222
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.01.2026 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
15.03.2025 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
25.10.2024 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
16.02.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 3-2 HT 2-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
24.08.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
02.02.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-4 HT 1-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
4-0
AWAY Al Akhdoud
2.35 xG 0.29
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
369 Passes 142
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
33 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah cruised past Al Akhdoud 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 68% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 32%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 2.35 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Akhdoud led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.67 for Al Akhdoud.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Akhdoud?

Al Ahli Jeddah 4-0 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 77%, draw 13%, Al Akhdoud 10%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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