Miami FC 3-2 Brooklyn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
2.84
6+ Goals
9%
8.53
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 30% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Brooklyn EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-17% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.2 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Miami FC vs Brooklyn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miami FC edged past Brooklyn 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Miami FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Brooklyn?

Miami FC 3-2 Brooklyn in the USL Championship on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Brooklyn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miami FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 41%, draw 25%, Brooklyn 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Miami FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Miami FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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