Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Rhode Island v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals
Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Rhode Island 1-3 Birmingham Legion — Actual Match Statistics
Birmingham Legion took care of Rhode Island 3-1 away from home. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rhode Island at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 52% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.
On the day, possession split 62% to 38% in Rhode Island's favour, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.62 to 1.49.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rhode Island had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.60 a game for Rhode Island against 0.40 for Birmingham Legion.
Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion Result & Final Score
Rhode Island 1 - 3 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 63%, draw 22%, Birmingham Legion 15%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rhode Island) went the other way.