Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rhode Island v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals
Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Rhode Island 1-3 Birmingham Legion — Actual Match Statistics
Birmingham Legion beat Rhode Island 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rhode Island at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Rhode Island had 62% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 38%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.62 to 1.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rhode Island had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Rhode Island and 0.40 for Birmingham Legion.
What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?
Rhode Island 1-3 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 61%, draw 22%, Birmingham Legion 17%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Rhode Island) went the other way.