Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
Phoenix Rising squeezed past Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 0.33 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 50%, draw 25%, Phoenix Rising 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.