Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-0 Phoenix Rising — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
15.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.57/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.49
-11% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
20.6 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Phoenix Rising
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.38 xG 1.32
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
267 Passes 499
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 23
4 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 1-3 HT 1-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
04.06.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 HT 1-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0-0
AWAY Phoenix Rising
1.57 xG 0.15
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 0
463 Passes 235
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 6
34 Crosses 3
POST-MATCH Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Phoenix Rising fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 63% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 37%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.57 to 0.15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 0.50 for Phoenix Rising.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-0 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 53%, draw 23%, Phoenix Rising 24%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✗ BTTS Yes
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