Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-1 Detroit City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 29% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Detroit City EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +1%
1.60/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.06
+53% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
15.8 Crosses 19.2
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Detroit City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.15 xG 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
291 Passes 307
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2025 Detroit City Detroit City 2-0 HT 2-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
03.11.2024 Detroit City Detroit City 1-1 HT 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
22.08.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-3 HT 1-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
07.07.2024 Detroit City Detroit City 1-1 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
14.05.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 5-1 HT 4-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
29.04.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 0-1 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
1-1
AWAY Detroit City
0.86 xG 0.43
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
297 Passes 293
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tampa Bay Rowdies and Detroit City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tampa Bay Rowdies at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 51% of the ball to Detroit City's 49%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.86 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 1.33 for Detroit City.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City?

Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-1 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 41%, draw 27%, Detroit City 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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