Charleston Battery 2-1 Birmingham Legion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.37
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.64
6+ Goals
11%
6.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
69%
+0.0pp
15%
Draw
19%
-3.1pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.31/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.60
+43% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
18.9 Crosses 13.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charleston Battery
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.75 xG 0.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
393 Passes 285
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.07.2025 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-0 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
06.07.2024 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 2-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
16.05.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-1 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
29.10.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 2-1 HT 1-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
15.10.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 1-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
30.07.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-2 HT 1-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charleston Battery
2-1
AWAY Birmingham Legion
2.73 xG 0.30
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
504 Passes 204
89% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Charleston Battery vs Birmingham Legion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery edged past Birmingham Legion 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Charleston Battery as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Charleston Battery had 67% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 33%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 2.73 to 0.30 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Charleston Battery's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charleston Battery had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Charleston Battery and 0.33 for Birmingham Legion.

What was the final score of Charleston Battery vs Birmingham Legion?

Charleston Battery 2-1 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charleston Battery vs Birmingham Legion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Charleston Battery 69%, draw 15%, Birmingham Legion 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleston Battery), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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