Loudoun United vs North Carolina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Loudoun United v North Carolina — Team-Based Signals
Loudoun United vs North Carolina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
North Carolina
ABDK
4-0
HT 2-0
North Carolina
USLP
Loudoun United 0-1 North Carolina — Actual Match Statistics
North Carolina edged past Loudoun United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Loudoun United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Loudoun United had 60% of the ball to North Carolina's 40%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.29 to 1.53.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Loudoun United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Loudoun United and 1.00 for North Carolina.
What was the final score of Loudoun United vs North Carolina?
Loudoun United 0-1 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs North Carolina?
Before kick-off our model rated a Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 47%, draw 23%, North Carolina 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.