North Carolina 1-1 Loudoun United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-7.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North Carolina EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
260 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North Carolina
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Loudoun United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.70 xG 1.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 Passes 364
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 North Carolina North Carolina 1-2 HT 1-1 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
15.05.2024 North Carolina North Carolina 2-0 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
16.03.2024 Loudoun United Loudoun United 3-1 HT 1-1 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
06.04.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 2-1 HT 1-0 North Carolina North Carolina ABDK
01.09.2019 Loudoun United Loudoun United 4-0 HT 2-0 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
18.07.2019 North Carolina North Carolina 3-0 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
POST-MATCH North Carolina vs Loudoun United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina and Loudoun United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Loudoun United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for North Carolina and 1.83 for Loudoun United.

What was the final score of North Carolina vs Loudoun United?

North Carolina 1-1 Loudoun United in the USLKP on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North Carolina vs Loudoun United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split North Carolina 35%, draw 26%, Loudoun United 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Loudoun United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Loudoun United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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