Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Hartford Athletic — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Hartford Athletic
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
2-1
HT 1-0
Hartford Athletic
USLP
0-2
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
Louisville City 1-0 Hartford Athletic — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City nicked a narrow win over Hartford Athletic 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Louisville City had 55% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 45%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 2.81 to 0.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Louisville City's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Louisville City and 0.83 for Hartford Athletic.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic?
Louisville City 1-0 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 61%, draw 23%, Hartford Athletic 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.