Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hartford Athletic v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Hartford Athletic
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
2-1
HT 1-0
Hartford Athletic
USLP
0-2
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
2-4
HT 2-2
Louisville City
USLP
Hartford Athletic 1-1 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
Hartford Athletic and Louisville City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Louisville City at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.
On the day, Hartford Athletic had 54% of the ball to Louisville City's 46%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.49 to 1.04.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hartford Athletic and 1.67 for Louisville City.
What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?
Hartford Athletic 1-1 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 26%, draw 28%, Louisville City 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Louisville City), BTTS No went the other way.