Colorado Springs 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
4.47
6+ Goals
7%
24.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.66/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.30
+21% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
16.7 Crosses 18.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.79 xG 0.66
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
373 Passes 224
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-2 HT 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
09.04.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-0 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
1-0
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0.57 xG 0.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
309 Passes 239
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
10 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs squeezed past Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Colorado Springs as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 54% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 46%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.57 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.00 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Colorado Springs 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 43%, draw 29%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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