Miami FC 2-1 Loudoun United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+7.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 52%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
1.12/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.55
-2% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
251 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 82%
12.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
12.3 Crosses 28.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miami FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Loudoun United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 1.62
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
309 Passes 352
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Loudoun United Loudoun United 4-1 HT 1-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
23.06.2024 Miami FC Miami FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
30.07.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-2 HT 1-2 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
18.06.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
24.07.2022 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-2 HT 1-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
27.03.2022 Miami FC Miami FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
2-1
AWAY Loudoun United
1.46 xG 0.99
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
216 Passes 376
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 12
7 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Miami FC vs Loudoun United
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Miami FC edged past Loudoun United 2-1 in the USL Championship on 18 May 2025.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, Miami FC had 40% of the ball to Loudoun United's 60%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.46 to 0.99.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Miami FC and 1.67 for Loudoun United.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Loudoun United?

Miami FC 2-1 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Loudoun United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 34%, draw 23%, Loudoun United 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Loudoun United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Loudoun United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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