Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Phoenix Rising v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals
Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Phoenix Rising 2-0 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising beat Monterey Bay 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Phoenix Rising as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 53%.
By the numbers, Monterey Bay saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.39 to 0.73.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterey Bay led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Phoenix Rising against 1.67 for Monterey Bay.
Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay Result & Final Score
Phoenix Rising 2 - 0 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 49%, draw 27%, Monterey Bay 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phoenix Rising), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.