Phoenix Rising 1-3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.03
6+ Goals
6%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
22%
2/1
14%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.56/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.19
+37% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
375 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 72%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
15.8 Crosses 16.8
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phoenix Rising
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.77 xG 0.73
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
506 Passes 246
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
04.06.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 HT 1-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Phoenix Rising
1-3
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.88 xG 2.03
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
492 Passes 288
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 21
34 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Phoenix Rising vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pittsburgh Riverhounds got the better of Phoenix Rising 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Pittsburgh Riverhounds found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Phoenix Rising had 62% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 38%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.88 to 2.03.

What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Phoenix Rising 1-3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 40%, draw 32%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Phoenix Rising) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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