Miami FC 0-1 Birmingham Legion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.47
6+ Goals
11%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 46%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.44/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.37
+25% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
15.3 Crosses 13.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miami FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 1.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
357 Passes 345
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-2 HT 0-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
04.05.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
04.09.2022 Miami FC Miami FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
05.05.2022 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-0 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
24.06.2021 Miami FC Miami FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
17.09.2020 Miami FC Miami FC 0-4 HT 0-3 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
0-1
AWAY Birmingham Legion
0.46 xG 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
225 Passes 358
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham Legion edged past Miami FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Birmingham Legion made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Miami FC had 41% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 59%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.46 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Miami FC and 1.17 for Birmingham Legion.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion?

Miami FC 0-1 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 35%, draw 26%, Birmingham Legion 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham Legion) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham Legion) ✗ BTTS Yes
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