Las Vegas Lights 1-2 Rhode Island — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.08
6+ Goals
9%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 28% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.5pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 34%
-30% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.61/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.09
-37% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.6 Crosses 16.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Vegas Lights
1-2
AWAY Rhode Island
0.67 xG 1.46
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
411 Passes 235
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Las Vegas Lights vs Rhode Island
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island squeezed past Las Vegas Lights 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 22% / 36% — and on the day Rhode Island made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 60% of the ball to Rhode Island's 40%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.67 to 1.46.

What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs Rhode Island?

Las Vegas Lights 1-2 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs Rhode Island?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 41%, draw 22%, Rhode Island 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Las Vegas Lights) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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