Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Indy Eleven — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies squeezed past Indy Eleven 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.50 for Indy Eleven.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-0 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 64%, draw 20%, Indy Eleven 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.