Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Indy Eleven v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
1-3
HT 1-2
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
Indy Eleven 1-3 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies got the better of Indy Eleven 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Indy Eleven at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Indy Eleven had 45% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 55%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.91 to 1.28 — the balance of chances actually favoured Indy Eleven.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Indy Eleven and 2.00 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Indy Eleven 1-3 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 44%, draw 26%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.