San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Antonio v Sacramento Republic — Team-Based Signals
San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-0
San Antonio
USLP
3-1
HT 2-0
San Antonio
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Sacramento Republic
USLP
San Antonio 1-3 Sacramento Republic — Actual Match Statistics
Sacramento Republic saw off San Antonio 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sacramento Republic found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, San Antonio had 63% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 37%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.69 to 1.32.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for San Antonio and 1.33 for Sacramento Republic.
What was the final score of San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic?
San Antonio 1-3 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 37%, draw 26%, Sacramento Republic 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.