Phoenix Rising vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Phoenix Rising v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals
Phoenix Rising vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Birmingham Legion
USLP
Phoenix Rising 3-3 Birmingham Legion — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising and Birmingham Legion couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Phoenix Rising at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Phoenix Rising had 53% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 47%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.68 to 1.34.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Phoenix Rising and 1.00 for Birmingham Legion.
What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Birmingham Legion?
Phoenix Rising 3-3 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs Birmingham Legion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 45%, draw 23%, Birmingham Legion 32%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Phoenix Rising) went the other way.