El Paso Locomotive 6-0 Las Vegas Lights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.21
2-3 Goals
35%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.32
6+ Goals
11%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 30% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+1.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.1pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.78/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.52
+4% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
17.6 Crosses 13.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Paso Locomotive
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.32 xG 1.06
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
361 Passes 330
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-2 HT 1-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
13.07.2024 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 0-2 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
24.03.2024 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-0 HT 1-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
14.09.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 0-1 HT 0-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
15.06.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 2-1 HT 2-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
28.05.2022 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 0-1 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Paso Locomotive
6-0
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.45 xG 0.30
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
357 Passes 237
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 7
10 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Paso Locomotive ran out comfortable winners over Las Vegas Lights 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had El Paso Locomotive as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 58% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 42%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.45 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Paso Locomotive had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 0.83 for Las Vegas Lights.

What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights?

El Paso Locomotive 6-0 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 59%, draw 21%, Las Vegas Lights 20%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) ✗ BTTS Yes
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