Las Vegas Lights 1-2 El Paso Locomotive — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.78
6+ Goals
8%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 32% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.22/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.28
+4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 80%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
16.3 Crosses 11.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Vegas Lights
3W-0D-3L
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 1.39
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
316 Passes 363
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.07.2024 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 0-2 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
24.03.2024 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-0 HT 1-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
14.09.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 0-1 HT 0-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
15.06.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 2-1 HT 2-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
28.05.2022 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 0-1 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
24.03.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 4-5 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Vegas Lights
1-2
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
0.98 xG 1.43
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
237 Passes 500
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 33
17 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Paso Locomotive edged past Las Vegas Lights 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day El Paso Locomotive made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 35% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 65%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 0.98 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 1.33 for El Paso Locomotive.

What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?

Las Vegas Lights 1-2 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 39%, draw 25%, El Paso Locomotive 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Las Vegas Lights) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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