Monterey Bay vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Monterey Bay v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Monterey Bay 0-2 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City got the better of Monterey Bay 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.
By the numbers, possession split 50% to 50% in Monterey Bay's favour, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.38 to 1.51.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Louisville City led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Monterey Bay against 1.67 for Louisville City.
Monterey Bay vs Louisville City Result & Final Score
Monterey Bay 0 - 2 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Monterey Bay vs Louisville City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 19%, draw 28%, Louisville City 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.