Monterey Bay vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterey Bay v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
0-2
HT 0-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
Monterey Bay 0-2 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City got the better of Monterey Bay 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Monterey Bay had 50% of the ball to Louisville City's 50%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.38 to 1.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Louisville City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Monterey Bay and 1.67 for Louisville City.
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Louisville City?
Monterey Bay 0-2 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs Louisville City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 21%, draw 32%, Louisville City 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.