Orange County SC 3-1 Colorado Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.22/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.61
+2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
16.5 Crosses 14.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orange County SC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Colorado Springs
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.15 xG 1.47
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
343 Passes 426
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-1 HT 1-1 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
10.10.2024 Orange County SC Orange County SC 2-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
16.06.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-2 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
16.09.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
11.06.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-0 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
07.08.2022 Orange County SC Orange County SC 3-3 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orange County SC
3-1
AWAY Colorado Springs
0.98 xG 0.47
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
222 Passes 348
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orange County SC vs Colorado Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orange County SC got the better of Colorado Springs 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Orange County SC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orange County SC had 41% of the ball to Colorado Springs's 59%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.98 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Orange County SC and 2.33 for Colorado Springs.

What was the final score of Orange County SC vs Colorado Springs?

Orange County SC 3-1 Colorado Springs in the USL Championship on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orange County SC vs Colorado Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Orange County SC 35%, draw 29%, Colorado Springs 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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