Lexington vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lexington v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals
Lexington 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics
Lexington and Tampa Bay Rowdies couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Lexington had 46% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 54%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.08 to 1.60.
What was the final score of Lexington vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Lexington 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lexington vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lexington 36%, draw 30%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lexington), Over 2.5 went the other way.