Lexington vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities
Lexington v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals
Lexington 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics
Lexington and Tampa Bay Rowdies couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (56%) landed.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.08 to 1.60.
Lexington vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Result & Final Score
Lexington 1 - 1 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Lexington vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lexington 38%, draw 28%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lexington), Over 2.5 went the other way.