Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oakland Roots v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Oakland Roots
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
1-2
HT 1-0
New Mexico United
USLP
2-2
HT 1-1
Oakland Roots
USLP
Oakland Roots 0-3 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United swept aside Oakland Roots 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day New Mexico United made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Oakland Roots had 47% of the ball to New Mexico United's 53%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.59 to 1.46.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakland Roots had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oakland Roots and 1.17 for New Mexico United.
What was the final score of Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United?
Oakland Roots 0-3 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Oakland Roots win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 39%, draw 27%, New Mexico United 34%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.