Miami FC 1-2 Birmingham Legion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.09/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.35
-16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
15.1 Crosses 15.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miami FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.83 xG 1.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
340 Passes 379
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-0 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
21.04.2024 Miami FC Miami FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
25.09.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-2 HT 0-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
04.05.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
04.09.2022 Miami FC Miami FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
05.05.2022 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-0 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
1-2
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.16 xG 1.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
327 Passes 332
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham Legion squeezed past Miami FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Birmingham Legion found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Miami FC had 50% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 50%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.16 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Miami FC and 0.67 for Birmingham Legion.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion?

Miami FC 1-2 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 35%, draw 28%, Birmingham Legion 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham Legion), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham Legion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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