Rhode Island 1-0 Birmingham Legion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 21 Aug 2025

📅21/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.7pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 31%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.00
+45% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +59%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rhode Island
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.25 xG 0.79
53% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
360 Passes 301
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.07.2025 Rhode Island Rhode Island 1-1 HT 1-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
15.05.2025 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-1 HT 0-1 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
01.09.2024 Rhode Island Rhode Island 2-0 HT 0-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
18.07.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-3 HT 0-1 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rhode Island
1-0
AWAY Birmingham Legion
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island edged past Birmingham Legion 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rhode Island as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rhode Island had 60% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 40%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rhode Island had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Rhode Island and 0.50 for Birmingham Legion.

What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?

Rhode Island 1-0 Birmingham Legion in the USLKP on 21/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 45%, draw 25%, Birmingham Legion 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rhode Island) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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