PAOK 3-1 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 3 May 2026

PAOK
3 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Olympiakos
📅03/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.54
Over
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.0
No
53%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.24
2-3
46%
1.71
4-5
15%
4.78
6+
3%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.24
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
13%
5.61
X/2
14%
5.33
X/X
22%
3.66
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
19%
3.91
2/X
5%
13.65
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME PAOK The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos The Market 39%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.15 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.10
1.14 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.05
Average Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Olympiakos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 1.19
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
244 Passes 285
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 Olympiakos Olympiakos 0-0 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
14.01.2026 Olympiakos Olympiakos 0-2 HT 0-2 PAOK PAOK YUK
05.10.2025 PAOK PAOK 2-1 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
04.05.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-2 HT 2-2 PAOK PAOK YUN
06.04.2025 PAOK PAOK 2-1 HT 2-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
23.02.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 2-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
3 - 1
AWAY Olympiakos
1.99 xG 2.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
254 Passes 323
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW PAOK vs Olympiakos
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PAOK saw off Olympiakos 3-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and on the day PAOK made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olympiakos saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 1.99 to 2.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for PAOK against 1.33 for Olympiakos.

PAOK vs Olympiakos Result & Final Score

PAOK 3 - 1 Olympiakos in the Greece - Super League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

PAOK vs Olympiakos Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split PAOK 33%, draw 32%, Olympiakos 35%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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