Olympiakos vs PAOK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Olympiakos v PAOK — Team-Based Signals
Olympiakos vs PAOK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Olympiakos 4-2 PAOK — Actual Match Statistics
Olympiakos saw off PAOK 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Olympiakos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Olympiakos had 51% of the ball to PAOK's 49%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.34 to 1.71.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Olympiakos and 1.50 for PAOK.
What was the final score of Olympiakos vs PAOK?
Olympiakos 4-2 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs PAOK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 36%, draw 29%, PAOK 34%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.