Junior 3-0 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 3 Jun 2026

📅03/06/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+6.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.23/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.07
+9% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 79%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
14.4 Crosses 13.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
225 Passes 305
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2026 Junior Junior 0-4 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
01.12.2025 Junior Junior 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
27.11.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 0-1 Junior Junior KOL
14.11.2025 Junior Junior 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
26.05.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-3 HT 0-2 Junior Junior KOL
27.09.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-3 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
3-0
AWAY Atletico Nacional
1.76 xG 0.56
42% Ball Possession 58%
21 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
222 Passes 329
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Junior vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior ran out comfortable winners over Atletico Nacional 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Nacional at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Junior had 42% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 58%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.76 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Junior and 1.50 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of Junior vs Atletico Nacional?

Junior 3-0 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 03/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Junior 32%, draw 27%, Atletico Nacional 41%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →