Junior 0-4 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 11 Mar 2026

📅11/03/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
33%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
1.40/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.11
+10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
273 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
14.6 Crosses 13.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.18 xG 1.12
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
270 Passes 269
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2025 Junior Junior 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
27.11.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 0-1 Junior Junior KOL
14.11.2025 Junior Junior 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
26.05.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-3 HT 0-2 Junior Junior KOL
27.09.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-3 Junior Junior KOL
03.03.2024 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
0-4
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.28 xG 1.64
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
165 Passes 430
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Junior vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional swept aside Junior 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Atletico Nacional made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Junior had 33% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 67%, shots finished 4-16, expected goals 0.28 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Junior and 0.83 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of Junior vs Atletico Nacional?

Junior 0-4 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 11/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Junior 38%, draw 26%, Atletico Nacional 36%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Junior), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Junior) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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