Aris Saloniki 1-3 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Jul 2025

Aris Saloniki
1-3 HT 1-2
Livingston
📅03/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Aris Saloniki vs Livingston Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.24
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.5pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aris Saloniki v Livingston — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +68% / +68%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +148% / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Aris Saloniki 1-3 Livingston — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
1-3
AWAY Livingston
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston saw off Aris Saloniki 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Aris Saloniki at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 60% of the ball to Livingston's 40%, shots finished 7-9.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs Livingston?

Aris Saloniki 1-3 Livingston in the Friendlies on 03/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 52%, draw 19%, Livingston 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aris Saloniki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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