Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Jul 2025

📅03/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.33
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-15.9pp
28%
Draw
18%
+9.1pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 14%
+13% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+39% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
380 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Makhachkala
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.99 xG 0.72
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
404 Passes 228
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 0-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
02.11.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 2-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2-0
AWAY Makhachkala
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg saw off Makhachkala 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 49% of the ball to Makhachkala's 51%, shots finished 6-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.50 for Makhachkala.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Makhachkala?

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 Makhachkala in the Friendlies on 03/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 55%, draw 28%, Makhachkala 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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