ABD (K) 3-0 Kanada (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Jul 2025

📅03/07/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.76
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.89
6+ Goals
8%
17.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-3.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kanada (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.10/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.44
-11% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
16.2 Crosses 15.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD (K)
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kanada (K)
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 0.84
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
329 Passes 259
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2024 ABD (K) ABD (K) 2-2 HT 0-1 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) SHEBEL
07.03.2024 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 2-2 HT 0-1 ABD (K) ABD (K) GKK
17.02.2023 ABD (K) ABD (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) SHEBEL
02.08.2021 ABD (K) ABD (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) OLİ
18.10.2018 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 ABD (K) ABD (K) Kuzey / Orta Amerika - Kadınlar DK CONCACAF Elemeleri
13.11.2017 ABD (K) ABD (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD (K)
3-0
AWAY Kanada (K)
2.89 xG 0.44
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
495 Passes 232
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
44 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ABD (K) vs Kanada (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD (K) cruised past Kanada (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ABD (K) as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, ABD (K) had 65% of the ball to Kanada (K)'s 35%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.89 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for ABD (K) and 1.00 for Kanada (K).

What was the final score of ABD (K) vs Kanada (K)?

ABD (K) 3-0 Kanada (K) in the Friendlies on 03/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD (K) vs Kanada (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split ABD (K) 55%, draw 22%, Kanada (K) 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ABD (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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