Meksika (K) 1-0 Kolombiya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Jul 2025

📅03/07/2025 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.82
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.2pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meksika (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolombiya (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.32/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.46
-70% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
24.8 Crosses 10.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meksika (K)
0W-4D-0L
AWAY Kolombiya (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 0.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
268 Passes 232
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2025 Meksika (K) Meksika (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) HAZ
22.02.2023 Meksika (K) Meksika (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) HAZ
03.08.2019 Meksika (K) Meksika (K) 2-2 HT 0-2 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) PANAMK
09.06.2015 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Meksika (K) Meksika (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meksika (K)
1-0
AWAY Kolombiya (K)
1.85 xG 0.72
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
201 Passes 257
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Meksika (K) vs Kolombiya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meksika (K) squeezed past Kolombiya (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Meksika (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Meksika (K) had 44% of the ball to Kolombiya (K)'s 56%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.85 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Meksika (K) and 1.00 for Kolombiya (K).

What was the final score of Meksika (K) vs Kolombiya (K)?

Meksika (K) 1-0 Kolombiya (K) in the Friendlies on 03/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meksika (K) vs Kolombiya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meksika (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Meksika (K) 43%, draw 30%, Kolombiya (K) 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meksika (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Meksika (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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