KTP Kotka 3-3 JIPPO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 3 Jul 2026

📅03/07/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.57
6+ Goals
8%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 29% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY JIPPO EU Bookmakers 28%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
2.00/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.24
+13% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
2W-2D-2L
AWAY JIPPO
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2026 JIPPO JIPPO 0-0 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
21.02.2026 JIPPO JIPPO 1-2 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FINYK
07.05.2025 JIPPO JIPPO 1-1 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİK
31.08.2024 JIPPO JIPPO 3-2 HT 2-2 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
12.06.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-1 HT 2-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
20.04.2024 JIPPO JIPPO 1-0 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
3-3
AWAY JIPPO
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs JIPPO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka and JIPPO couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was KTP Kotka at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, KTP Kotka had 52% of the ball to JIPPO's 48%, shots finished 19-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for KTP Kotka and 1.17 for JIPPO.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs JIPPO?

KTP Kotka 3-3 JIPPO in the Finland - Ykkönen on 03/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs JIPPO?

Before kick-off our model rated a KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 48%, draw 27%, JIPPO 25%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✗ Under 2.5
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