JIPPO 1-2 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
2.78
6+ Goals
10%
8.02
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.15 — our 30% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-1.4pp
17%
Draw
20%
-2.4pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JIPPO EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 18%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-6% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JIPPO
2W-3D-1L
AWAY KTP Kotka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.05.2025 JIPPO JIPPO 1-1 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİK
31.08.2024 JIPPO JIPPO 3-2 HT 2-2 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
12.06.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-1 HT 2-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
20.04.2024 JIPPO JIPPO 1-0 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
03.02.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-1 HT 0-1 JIPPO JIPPO FINYK
04.10.2014 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 0-0 HT 0-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
POST-MATCH JIPPO vs KTP Kotka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka nicked a narrow win over JIPPO 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had JIPPO at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, JIPPO had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for JIPPO and 1.00 for KTP Kotka.

What was the final score of JIPPO vs KTP Kotka?

JIPPO 1-2 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Ykköscup on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JIPPO vs KTP Kotka?

Before kick-off our model rated a JIPPO win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split JIPPO 64%, draw 17%, KTP Kotka 18%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JIPPO) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FINYK More Finland - Ykköscup
21 Feb 2026
18:00 PK-35 ry vs Haka Analysis →
18:30 Mikkeli vs JaPS Analysis →