Mikkeli 1-1 JaPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 21 Feb 2026

Mikkeli
1-1 HT 0-1
JaPS
📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.21
Over 2.5
67%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.53
No
31%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
2.79
6+ Goals
12%
8.11
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.79 — our 29% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-2.9pp
33%
Under 2.5
41%
-8.1pp
67%
Over 2.5
59%
+8.1pp
69%
BTTS Yes
61%
+8.0pp
31%
BTTS No
39%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY JaPS EU Bookmakers 48%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-68% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mikkeli
1W-1D-4L
AWAY JaPS
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 JaPS JaPS 4-0 HT 2-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
17.07.2024 JaPS JaPS 1-1 HT 1-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
19.05.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-3 HT 0-2 JaPS JaPS FİN2
09.03.2024 JaPS JaPS 4-1 HT 2-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FINYK
14.07.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-2 HT 0-2 JaPS JaPS FİN2
06.05.2023 JaPS JaPS 1-3 HT 0-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
POST-MATCH Mikkeli vs JaPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mikkeli and JaPS shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (69%) landed while over 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JaPS led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mikkeli and 2.50 for JaPS.

What was the final score of Mikkeli vs JaPS?

Mikkeli 1-1 JaPS in the Finland - Ykköscup on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mikkeli vs JaPS?

Before kick-off our model rated an JaPS win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mikkeli 32%, draw 28%, JaPS 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JaPS), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JaPS) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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