Birmingham Legion 1-2 Detroit City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 3 Jul 2026

Birmingham Legion
1-2 HT 1-1
Detroit City
📅03/07/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2026

Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
8%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Birmingham Legion v Detroit City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Detroit City EU Bookmakers 39%
-16% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.14/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.14
-39% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
14.1 Crosses 21.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham Legion
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Detroit City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.40 xG 0.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
360 Passes 273
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.05.2025 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-1 HT 0-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
22.03.2025 Detroit City Detroit City 2-2 HT 2-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
17.08.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-1 HT 0-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
27.06.2024 Detroit City Detroit City 1-2 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
28.08.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 2-3 HT 2-3 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
27.05.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 1-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP

Birmingham Legion 1-2 Detroit City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham Legion
1-2
AWAY Detroit City
2.40 xG 2.11
16 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
302 Passes 300
27 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Detroit City edged past Birmingham Legion 2-1 away from home in the USL Championship on 3 Jul 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 16-21, expected goals 2.40 to 2.11.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Detroit City lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Birmingham Legion and 1.50 for Detroit City.

What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City?

Birmingham Legion 1-2 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 03/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 38%, draw 27%, Detroit City 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Birmingham Legion), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birmingham Legion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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