Angers 1-2 Lorient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
2.33
Over
46%
1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.46
No
53%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
30%
4.96
2-3
40%
1.95
4-5
21%
2.77
6+
9%
7.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.96 — our 30% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angers The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorient The Market 34%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
3.40/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.07
+113% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lorient
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.12 xG 1.05
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
375 Passes 427
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.02.2023 Lorient Lorient 0-0 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR1
01.01.2023 Angers Angers 1-2 HT 1-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
16.01.2022 Lorient Lorient 0-0 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR1
21.11.2021 Angers Angers 1-0 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
31.07.2021 Lorient Lorient 1-0 HT 0-0 Angers Angers HAZ
02.05.2021 Lorient Lorient 2-0 HT 1-0 Angers Angers FR1
REVIEW Angers vs Lorient
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lorient shaded a tight game against Angers 2-1 on their travels. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The model refused to pick a side here (37% / 25% / 38%); Lorient picked one for it.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 47%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.46, roughly 68%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lorient led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Angers and 0.83 for Lorient.

Angers vs Lorient Result & Final Score

Angers 1-2 Lorient in the Friendlies on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Angers vs Lorient Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Angers 37%, draw 25%, Lorient 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lorient) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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