Ehime FC 0-1 Tokushima Vortis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
43%
Away Win
51%
-8.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.17/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.19
+13% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
228 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 499 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ehime FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
03.05.2024 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-0 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
10.10.2020 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-0 HT 1-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
27.06.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 4-3 HT 0-3 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
08.09.2019 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
03.07.2019 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-0 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JPK
23.11.2015 Ehime FC Ehime FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ehime FC
0-1
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ehime FC vs Tokushima Vortis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis squeezed past Ehime FC 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tokushima Vortis as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Ehime FC had 46% of the ball to Tokushima Vortis's 54%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ehime FC and 1.00 for Tokushima Vortis.

What was the final score of Ehime FC vs Tokushima Vortis?

Ehime FC 0-1 Tokushima Vortis in the Japan - J2 League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ehime FC vs Tokushima Vortis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ehime FC 29%, draw 27%, Tokushima Vortis 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokushima Vortis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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