Yokohama FC 2-1 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -18%
1.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.18
+11% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY JEF United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
323 Passes 363
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2024 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
17.07.2022 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 4-0 HT 2-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
10.04.2022 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
27.07.2019 JEF United JEF United 1-3 HT 1-1 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
23.08.2015 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 0-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
03.05.2015 JEF United JEF United 3-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama FC
2-1
AWAY JEF United
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yokohama FC vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama FC nicked a narrow win over JEF United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yokohama FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Yokohama FC had 52% of the ball to JEF United's 48%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, JEF United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Yokohama FC and 1.17 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Yokohama FC vs JEF United?

Yokohama FC 2-1 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama FC vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Yokohama FC 45%, draw 27%, JEF United 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama FC) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama FC)
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