ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-1 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
0.74/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.89
-30% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 488 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
294 Passes 518
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 4-1 HT 3-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
16.07.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-3 HT 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
29.04.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-1 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
30.07.2022 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 HT 1-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
04.05.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
12.09.2021 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-3 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0-1
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
58% Ball Possession 42%
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ventforet Kofu squeezed past ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ventforet Kofu as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 58% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 42%, shots finished 4-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ventforet Kofu led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for ThespaKusatsu Gunma and 1.67 for Ventforet Kofu.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Ventforet Kofu?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-1 Ventforet Kofu in the Japan - J2 League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ventforet Kofu win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 26%, draw 31%, Ventforet Kofu 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ventforet Kofu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
3 Aug 2024
12:00 Yokohama FC vs JEF United Analysis →
13:00 Fagiano Okayama vs Montedio Yamagata Analysis →
13:00 Ehime FC vs Tokushima Vortis Analysis →
13:00 Roasso Kumamoto vs Tochigi SC Analysis →
13:00 Renofa Yamaguchi vs Oita Trinita Analysis →
13:00 V-Varen Nagasaki vs Mito HollyHock Analysis →