FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 Vikingur R. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
2.18
Over
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
42%
4-5
19%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.0pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur R. The Market 50%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -2%
1.47/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.17
+6% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
238 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 82%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
21.7 Crosses 23.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Vikingur R.
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.94 xG 1.38
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
227 Passes 382
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-1 HT 2-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
25.09.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
05.08.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-3 HT 2-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
12.05.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
28.09.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-1 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
08.08.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-3 HT 1-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
2-2
AWAY Vikingur R.
1.95 xG 1.70
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
204 Passes 403
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FH Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur R.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FH Hafnarfjordur and Vikingur R. shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vikingur R. at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FH Hafnarfjordur had 38% of the ball to Vikingur R.'s 62%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.95 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FH Hafnarfjordur and 2.67 for Vikingur R..

What was the final score of FH Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur R.?

FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 Vikingur R. in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FH Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur R.?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FH Hafnarfjordur 32%, draw 27%, Vikingur R. 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✗ Under 2.5
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