Breidablik 1-1 KA Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
41%
4-5
28%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Breidablik win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
61%
Home Win
64%
-3.6pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.2pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.5pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik The Market 69%
Head to Head
AWAY KA Akureyri The Market 20%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.97/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/2.04
-2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
23.0 Crosses 21.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
4W-2D-0L
AWAY KA Akureyri
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.73 xG 1.28
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
442 Passes 240
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
30.03.2025 Breidablik Breidablik 3-1 HT 3-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZSK
01.09.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-3 HT 1-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
19.06.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-1 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
13.08.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-1 HT 1-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
04.07.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-3 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
1-1
AWAY KA Akureyri
1.85 xG 0.66
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 6
413 Passes 312
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
37 Box Touches 27
27 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs KA Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik and KA Akureyri couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Breidablik at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Breidablik had 56% of the ball to KA Akureyri's 44%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.85 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Breidablik and 1.33 for KA Akureyri.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs KA Akureyri?

Breidablik 1-1 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs KA Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 61%, draw 19%, KA Akureyri 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Breidablik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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