Magdeburg 0-1 Braunschweig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
13%
9.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.38
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
15%
4.59
X/2
10%
8.65
X/X
11%
5.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.2
2/2
8%
6.34
2/X
5%
14.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.2 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+2.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.0pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +0%
1.58/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.73
+4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
15.3 Crosses 17.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Braunschweig
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.19 xG 1.63
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
446 Passes 216
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2025 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
11.08.2024 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-3 HT 0-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
28.01.2024 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-0 HT 1-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
06.08.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-1 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
22.04.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-2 HT 0-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
15.10.2022 Magdeburg Magdeburg 0-2 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
0-1
AWAY Braunschweig
1.79 xG 0.41
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 2
461 Passes 199
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 10
46 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Braunschweig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braunschweig nicked a narrow win over Magdeburg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Magdeburg at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Magdeburg had 67% of the ball to Braunschweig's 33%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.79 to 0.41 — on chances, Magdeburg could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Magdeburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Magdeburg and 1.17 for Braunschweig.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Braunschweig?

Magdeburg 0-1 Braunschweig in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Braunschweig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 54%, draw 22%, Braunschweig 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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