Tecnico Universitario 3-1 Manta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Manta EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.56/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.87
+6% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
292 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 77%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.4
21.4 Crosses 15.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Manta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.76 xG 0.84
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
291 Passes 238
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.04.2025 Manta Manta 2-1 HT 1-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
20.09.2021 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-0 HT 0-0 Manta Manta EKV1
10.04.2021 Manta Manta 0-2 HT 0-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
3-1
AWAY Manta
4.04 xG 1.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
24 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
144 Passes 207
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Manta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tecnico Universitario got the better of Manta 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tecnico Universitario as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 44% of the ball to Manta's 56%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 4.04 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 0.67 for Manta.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Manta?

Tecnico Universitario 3-1 Manta in the Ecuador - Premier on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Manta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 53%, draw 25%, Manta 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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