Independiente Del Valle vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Del Valle v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Del Valle vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
3-4
HT 1-2
El Nacional
EKV1
Independiente Del Valle 1-0 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Del Valle edged past El Nacional 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 65% of the ball to El Nacional's 35%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.55 to 0.26.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 1.50 for El Nacional.
What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs El Nacional?
Independiente Del Valle 1-0 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs El Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 56%, draw 22%, El Nacional 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.